Luke Judge

March 21, 2011 11:23 AM EDT

Last night, StreetInisder.com released its list of winners and losers from the AT&T (NYSE: T) mega-deal to acquire T-Mobile USA for $39 billion. Today, a number of Wall Street’s finest have also weighed-in with their thoughts on the winners and losers. Below is a summary:WINNERS:

• AT&T (NYSE: T) (Winner):

Wells Fargo: “If approved, we view this deal as an extremely positive one for our top pick AT&T. T’s biggest need has been spectrum. with this deal, T essentially increases its spectrum position by about 50%. Spectrum is a finite asset. if this deal is approved, AT&T has found an immediate fix for what has proven to be a large overhang on its wireless operations.”Goldman Sachs: “AT&T has committed to a significant break-up fee, including $3 bn in cash plus certain spectrum rights. Perceived regulatory approval risks will be an overhang, in our view. AT&T looks to be offering regulators broadband expansion into rural areas.”

• Verizon (NYSE: VZ) (Winner):

Wells Fargo: “Fewer competitors help rationalize the market and should allow for better pricing trends. we believe VZ will be well positioned to benefit from this distraction which likely will occur from T-Mo and T. we also believe VZ will be the likely beneficiary of possible concessions/divestitures which will have to be made by this deal.”Goldman Sachs “VZ is the peer best positioned to benefit from any uncertainty while the proposed deal is evaluated, while for the industry structural benefits could accrue longer-term.”

• Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) (Winner):

Wedbush: “We also see Apple benefiting at the expense of other device manufacturers as AT&T sells both the iPhone and iPad while T-Mobile does not.”

• Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) (Winner):

Jefferies: “We note that Ericsson and Nokia-Siemens are the dominant wireless infrastructure vendors at T-Mobile USA. meanwhile, Ericsson and Alcatel-Lucent are the dominant vendors at AT&T Wireless. our assumption is that, over time, Alcatel-Lucent (a domain vendor) would gain market share in the combined entity. Nokia-Siemens Networks would lose share. we assume that AT&T’s announcement of a LTE network expansion in concert with the deal would also be incrementally beneficial for Alcatel-Lucent and Ericsson. Over the intermediate term, of course, Alcatel-Lucent could get impacted by slowing infrastructure spending as the two sides complete the merger and integrate. Also, the incremental network efficiencies and capex savings associated with the deal could partly offset some of the potential market share gains the organization could get. we estimate that AT&T Wireless accounts for 5%+ of Alcatel-Lucent’s sales right now.”Deutsche Bank: “AT&T indicates it will spend $8bn in ‘incremental’ Capex and we believe over time AT&T’s 4G/LTE equipment suppliers (ERIC & ALU in radio access, ALU in IP) should benefit from supplying equipment for AT&T’s enlarged network. in the short-term there could be volatility in both T-Mobile’s and AT&T’s Capex due to merger planning and integration, although strong data trends in our view dictate a continuation of network and capacity upgrades in the mid-term.

• Tekelec (Nasdaq: TKLC) (Winner):

Jefferies: “We see Tekelec as an intermediate-term beneficiary of the deal. in prior mergers among major wireless operators (AT&T Wireless / Cingular, Sprint/Nextel), the company has benefitted from a significant increase in Signaling infrastructure purchases. we note that – once these deals closed – the operators built out their signaling networks such that subscribers from one carrier can roam onto the other carrier’s network and vice versa. as such, the operators can immediately get the network coverage benefits associated with the merger. we assume that the same thing will occur with the AT&T Wireless / T-Mobile deal. AT&T has historically been a 15-22% customer for Tekelec in recent quarters. T-Mobile, similarly, has been a 10% customer for the company from time to time.”

• Atlantic Tele-Network (Nasdaq: ATNI) (Winner):

BWS Financial: “The acquisition of T-Mobile USA by AT&T (T) could have been the biggest value creator for Atlantic Tele-Network (ATNI) and its US wireless assets… Based on the value AT&T is paying for T-Mobile, we arrive at a valuation of $418.3 million to $823.3 million only for the Allied Wireless division. at the time of this report, ATNI’s total market capitalization was $521 million.”

• Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. (Nasdaq: SNCR) (Winner):

Goldman Sachs :”while it generates revenues in online activations of T-Mobile devices indirectly through Brightpoint (CELL; Not covered) and OEMs, we believe that most of T-Mobile’s activation volumes are handled in-house. given SNCR’s extensive relationship with AT&T, we believe this transaction could increase the prospects for SNCR to capture some of T-Mobile’s volume”Wedbush: “Synchronoss appears to be the biggest beneficiary in our coverage universe as AT&T (53% of revenue) is its largest customer for activation and provisioning services while T-Mobile is not a customer.”

• Amdocs Ltd. (NYSE: DOX) (Winner):

Goldman Sachs: “In the medium-to long-term we believe DOX could benefit from increased post M&A integration spend, as DOX currently handles core billing and managed services for wireless subscribers at both AT&T and TMobile. That said, there could be near-term disruptions to discretionary projects as AT&T assesses the combined application and infrastructure environment.”

• Openwave (Nasdaq: OPWV) (Winner):

Wedbush: “Openwave sells its legacy gateway, directory, and some messaging products to AT&T but nothing to T-Mobile.”

• Comverse Technology Inc. (OTC: CMVT) (Winner):

Wedbush: “Comverse sells voicemail and some unified messaging products to AT&T.”

• Prepay Mobile Providers – MetroPCS (NYSE: PCS) and Leap Wireless (Nasdaq: LEAP): (Winner):

Wells Fargo: “In our view, the 7x+ multiple paid for the T-Mobile asset could bode well for both LEAP & PCS’ given current valuations (trading under 6x).”LOSERS:

• Sprint (NYSE: S) and Clearwire (Nasdaq: CLWR) (Losers):

Goldman Sachs: this deal will likely be a negative for Sprint, as it was the company perceived to “need” a combination with TMobile more than any other. this also remove the other viable option that CLWR (Nasdaq: CLWR) had (T-Mobile).Collins Stewart: “With this announcement it is clear that Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT) is not about to merge with Sprint (NYSE: S) (as many had recently speculated) or even create a network sharing agreement that would lower the costs of their respective 4G deployments. although the announcement clearly pushes Sprint and Clearwire closer together, making Sprint appear more expensive (nearly 8.0x 2012 Est. PF EBITDA), we also note that it likely eliminates a likely wholesale customer or even purchaser of the 20Mhz of Clearwire (Nasdaq: CLWR) spectrum that had actively been shopped.Wells Fargo: “Longer term, this news represents a challenge for Sprint. The wireless model is very scalable and Sprint will now be a distant number 3 player to VZ. we believe Sprint has to look on its own partnerships with a renewed sense of urgency. in our view, a near-term move with CLWR likely will come about so as not to lose its 4G messaging and continue to differentiate its service offerings. near term, we believe S is in a position to gain meaningful share from T-Mobile as it will likely continue to market around its best value offering. S could also be in a position to put regulatory pressure on and shift some of the hot button issues (i.e. special access) more in its favor.”

• Tower Stocks – American Tower Corp. (NYSE: AMT), Crown Castle International Corp. (NYSE: CCI), SBA Communications Corp. (Nasdaq: SBAC) (Losers):

Goldman Sachs: “The towers normally trade off on carrier consolidation, but we would note generally rebound quickly and AT&T has capex commitments in this deal that should protect the towers in terms of the carrier’s spending level.”

• LM Ericson (Nasdaq: ERIC) (Loser):

Deutsche Bank: “We estimate T-Mobile US’s Capex is $2.9bn p.a. or 12% of total US Tier 1 carrier Capex. The incumbent suppliers to TMOB are Ericsson & NSN in radio access and Tier 2 and 3 vendors in backhaul (we estimate ~70% is fibre/optical). it is likely that over time AT&T will integrate T-Mobile’s cell sites into its own network and cut back spending on radio access and backhaul in areas with significant overlap.

• Nokia-Siemens (NYSE: NOK) (NYSE: SI) (Loser):

Jefferies: “Besides the long-term market share issue we highlighted above, we note that NSN is the major supplier of wireless infrastructure to LightSquared. That 4G network deployment, of course, is still getting off of the ground (many industry participants have concerns about the viability of the network). we note that LightSquared was pursuing a wholesaling strategy to other wireless operators without a 4G network plan. one of those prospective customers was TMobile USA. now, in the wake of this deal, T-Mobile USA won’t require LightSquared’s services and the viability of Light Squared gets a bit more uncertain.”

• Nokia (NYSE: NOK) (Loser):

Deutsche Bank: “ T-Mobile is currently Nokia’s only significant carrier distributor of devices in the US. if AT&T were to change handset OEM procurement strategy for T-Mobile, this could potentially negatively impact Nokia’s volumes into the US, although it is a small market for the company (3% unit share).”Wedbush “We also see a slight negative impact for Nokia and RIM on the device front as the iPhone will likely take some share.”

• Research in Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM) (Loser):

Wedbush “We also see a slight negative impact for Nokia and RIM on the device front as the iPhone will likely take some share.”

• Neutral Tandem (Nasdaq: TDMN) (Loser):

Wedbush: “Neutral Tandem will likely see AT&T route T-Mobile calls to its own tandem switches in markets it has a presence.”

• Nuance (Nasdaq: NUAN) (Loser):

Wedbush: “Nuance provides mobile care and has a good speech presence on T-Mobile devices while AT&T is starting to use more of its own speech software and Vlingo for speech application on mobile devices.”

• DirectTV (NYSE: DTV) and Dish Network Corp. (DISH) (Losers):

Credit Suisse: “For a number of years, there has been speculation that an RBOC (especially AT&T) would purchase one of the two US DBS players (DISH, DTV). with AT&T focused on purchasing and integrating T-Mobile, we think the likelihood of T buying a DBS asset in the near to mid term has declined. in turn, we believe that both DTV and DISH stock could show some weakness tomorrow.” Maintain Outperform rating on DISH, Neutral rating on DTV.

• Convergys Corporation (NYSE: CVG) (Loser):

Goldman Sachs: “We see the transaction as a potential long-term headwind for CVG as it currently generates a material percentage of revenues from AT&T and a small percentage from T-Mobile mostly for customer support and call center work.”

• RLECs – CenturyLink, Inc. (NYSE: CTL), Frontier Communications (NYSE:FTR), Windstream Corporation (NYSE: WIN) (Losers):

Goldman Sachs “As part of its $39 bn planned agreement to acquire T-Mobile USA, AT&T is committing to significantly expand its 4G LTE coverage. Previous plans included intentions to cover roughly 80% of the US. Under the proposed merger, AT&T intends to deploy to 95% of the US population, or 46.5 mn incremental pops. The increased coverage is expected to primarily target rural markets”

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Posted on: Thursday, 6 January 2011, 16:20 CST

LAS VEGAS and BASKING RIDGE, N.J., Jan. 6, 2011 /PRNewswire/ — From the 2011 International Consumer Electronics Show (CES), Verizon Wireless and HP today announced the industry’s first notebook PCs to use the Verizon Wireless 4G LTE Mobile Broadband network – the HP Pavilion dm1-3010nr Notebook PC and the Compaq CQ10-688nr.

(Photo: photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20110105/NY25625 )

Taking full advantage of the improved bandwidth and low latency of the Verizon Wireless 4G LTE network, the new HP Pavilion dm1-3010nr and Compaq CQ10-688nr are expected to provide blazing fast online experiences. Customers can expect download speeds of 5 to 12 Mbps and upload speeds of 2 to 5 Mbps in 4G Mobile Broadband coverage areas. The HP Pavilion dm1-3010nr allows customers to stream high-definition (HD)(1) content, play games, video chat, and download music, photos and videos all within seconds rather than minutes. Small, slim and stylish, the Compaq CQ10-688nr allows users to stay connected and access their music, photos and files on the go.

“The HP Pavilion dm1-3010nr Notebook PC and the Compaq CQ10-688nr provide our customers the reliability they’ve come to expect from our network combined with our new 4G LTE speeds — all within compact, yet extremely powerful computers,” said Marni Walden, vice president and chief marketing officer for Verizon Wireless. “As the first notebook PCs to use the Verizon Wireless 4G LTE network, they demonstrate our commitment to bringing our customers a wide breadth of devices to suit their mobile needs.”

“We’re excited to offer the first notebook PC and mini for Verizon Wireless’ 4G LTE network,” said Todd Achilles, vice president, North America Service Providers, Personal Systems Group, HP. “Through our collaboration, customers will experience true mobile computing via compact, stylish PCs and blazing speed.”

The HP Pavilion dm1-3010nr combines the performance of a notebook with the mobility of a netbook. Measuring less than 1-inch thin, the 11.6-inch HP Pavilion dm1 includes HP CoolSense Technology, which combines advanced hardware and intelligent cooling software for a notebook that feels noticeably cooler. Customers can watch HD content in smooth 1080p for a full HD(1) viewing experience. The HP Pavilion dm1 includes the latest VISION Technology from AMD – powered by an AMD Fusion Accelerated Processing Unit, which integrates a Microsoft® DirectX 11 capable graphics processing unit into the main processor.

With up to 9.5 hours of battery life(2) and 320 gigabytes (GB) (3) of storage, the HP Pavilion dm1-3010nr includes a full-size, island-style keyboard, multi-format digital media card reader, HDMI port, Dolby Advanced Audio and GPS for mapping and navigation(4).

Less than 1-inch thick and with a 10.1-inch diagonal anti-glare widescreen LED display, the slim and stylish Compaq CQ10-688nr offers an ideal balance of size, weight and performance for Internet browsing and entertainment. Featuring an Intel® Atom N455 processor for reliable, energy-efficient performance, a 6-cell in-line battery providing up to 8.5 hours of battery life(2), multi-format digital media card reader, webcam and multiple connectivity options with WLAN, and the Verizon Wireless 4G LTE network, the Compaq CQ10-688nr allows users to take just what they need and leave the rest on their primary PC.

Both the HP Pavilion dm1-3010nr and Compaq CQ10-688nr can be turned into mobile hotspots and allow other Wi-Fi enabled devices to connect with the integrated Internet Connection Sharing application.

The Verizon Wireless 4G LTE Mobile Broadband network, launched in December 2010, is the fastest, most advanced 4G network in the United States, providing speeds up to 10 times faster than Verizon Wireless’ 3G network. Verizon Wireless’ 4G LTE Mobile Broadband network currently reaches one-third of all Americans, with plans to expand the network to the company’s entire 3G coverage area over the next three years.

The HP Pavilion dm1-3010nr Notebook PC and HP Compaq CQ10-688nr will be on display at CES in Verizon Wireless’ booth (#35216 in the South Hall of the Las Vegas Convention Center). for more information about Verizon Wireless’ 4G LTE network, visit verizonwireless.com/lte and for more information about Verizon Wireless at CES, please visit verizonwireless.com/ces or follow the company on Twitter at twitter.com/verizonwireless.

About Verizon Wireless

Verizon Wireless operates the nation’s fastest and most advanced 4G network and largest and most reliable 3G network, and serves more than 93 million customers. Headquartered in Basking Ridge, N.J., with 80,000 employees nationwide, Verizon Wireless is a joint venture of Verizon Communications (NYSE, Nasdaq: VZ) and Vodafone (LSE, Nasdaq: VOD). for more information, visit verizonwireless.com. to preview and request broadcast-quality video footage and high-resolution stills of Verizon Wireless operations, log on to the Verizon Wireless Multimedia Library at verizonwireless.com/multimedia.

About HP

HP creates new possibilities for technology to have a meaningful impact on people, businesses, governments and society. The world’s largest technology company, HP brings together a portfolio that spans printing, personal computing, software, services and IT infrastructure to solve customer problems. more information about HP (NYSE: HPQ) is available at hp.com/.

(1) HD content is required to view HD images.

(2) Battery life will vary depending on the product model, configuration, loaded applications, features, use, wireless functionality and power management settings. The maximum capacity of the battery will naturally decrease with time and usage. See MobileMark07 battery benchmark bapco.com/products/mobilemark2007 for additional details.

(3) Actual formatted capacity is less. a portion of the hard drive is reserved for system recovery software — for notebooks up to: 20 GB (Windows® 7), 8 GB (XP and XP Pro), 12 GB (Vista®, 12 GB (MCE); for desktops up to: 14 GB (Windows 7), 10 GB (Vista, XP, XP Pro), 12 GB (MCE). for hard drives, 1 GB = 1 billion bytes.

(4) GPS access requires an unobstructed path to multiple satellites. Performance may be affected if used inside of buildings, bridges or heavily congested metropolitan areas. Additionally, GPS requires HP Mobile Broadband and HP Connection Manager, both of which are provided by HP as part of the factory image. Broadband service sold separately, check with provider for coverage and availability.

AMD is a trademark of Advanced Micro Devices, inc. Microsoft is a U.S. registered trademark of Microsoft Corporation. Intel is a trademark of Intel Corporation in the U.S. and other countries.

This news release contains forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. if such risks or uncertainties materialize or such assumptions prove incorrect, the results of HP and its consolidated subsidiaries could differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements and assumptions. All statements other than statements of historical fact are statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements of the plans, strategies and objectives of management for future operations; any statements concerning expected development, performance or market share relating to products and services; any statements regarding anticipated operational and financial results; any statements of expectation or belief; and any statements of assumptions underlying any of the foregoing. Risks, uncertainties and assumptions include macroeconomic and geopolitical trends and events; the execution and performance of contracts by HP and its customers, suppliers and partners; the achievement of expected operational and financial results; and other risks that are described in HP’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended July 31, 2010 and HP’s other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including but not limited to HP’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2009. HP assumes no obligation and does not intend to update these forward-looking statements.

© 2011 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice. The only warranties for HP products and services are set forth in the express warranty statements accompanying such products and services. nothing herein should be construed as constituting an additional warranty. HP shall not be liable for technical or editorial errors or omissions contained herein.

SOURCE Verizon Wireless

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Associate Editor

Andrew J. Nusca is an associate editor for ZDNet and SmartPlanet. As a journalist based in new York City, he has written for Popular Mechanics and Men’s Vogue and his byline has appeared in new York magazine, The Huffington Post, new York Daily News, Editor & Publisher, new York Press and many others. he also writes The Editorialiste, a media criticism blog.

He is a new York University graduate and former news editor and columnist of the Washington Square News. he is a graduate of the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism. he has been named “Howard Kurtz, Jr.” by film critic John Lichman despite having no relation to him. A native of Philadelphia, he lives in new York with his fiancee and his cat, Spats.

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What’s the difference between gas in Lynchburg and gas in Forest?

About six miles and 25 cents per gallon.

A gas price war has three stores on U.S. 221 in Forest charging less than the wholesale price and trying to outlast the others as they attract many customers who drive out of their way to fill up.

The standoff between Sheetz, Kroger and Apple Market started four months ago and has gone on longer than normal, said Warner Hall, president of Workman Oil, parent company of the Apple Market stores. it likely will continue until Sheetz, the store that first cut its price, lets up.

“we know that if we don’t match them, a lot of our customers are going to go down there and we’ll never get them back,” said Hall, who has an Apple Market store across U.S. 221 from Sheetz, near the Perrowville Road intersection.

 “Through trial and error over the past 12 years … we’ve learned that we have to match them.”

On Thursday the three Forest gas stations were charging about $2.59 per gallon of regular unleaded fuel. Meanwhile, the Sheetz, Apple Market and Kroger pit stops on Wards Road were charging around $2.85 per gallon. other stations in the city displayed prices $2.79 and higher.

The price at the pump has marched upward slowly this year. The average gas price in Lynchburg is $2.79 so far this month, compared to $2.56 in August, according to data compiled by GasBuddy.com.

The national average price of gas hit $2.97 Wednesday, nearing the $3 mark that has not been seen since Oct. 2008, AAA Mid-Atlantic said. in Virginia, the average price reached $2.88.

One year ago, Apple Market was the sole gas station on the stretch of U.S. 221 now engaged in the price war. Kroger opened at the Forest Square shopping center in the spring, followed by Sheetz at the corner of Perrowville Road and U.S. 221 late in the summer.

Hall said Sheetz cut its price soon after it opened. Apple Market and Kroger followed suit.

Representatives of Kroger and Sheetz could not be reached for comment.

Almost as soon as the Forest Apple Market dropped its price, it saw a big increase in fuel sales. Some customers topped off their gas tanks and then filled up cans to take home.

“Within a week (volume) was up about 40 to 50 percent over normal,” Hall said.

Although the low prices spur sales, they are not the best for business. many customers now buying gas at the Forest stores ordinarily would fill up in Lynchburg, where sales volume is down, Hall said.

Also, the prices in Forest are below the wholesale cost. Hall said Apple Market loses 15 to 20 cents per gallon pumped at the Forest store. “That’s no fun,” he said.

It’s fun for customers, though. Lynchburg resident Richard Morris beamed while explaining why he made a special trip to the Forest Apple Market Thursday to buy gas. “I’m just like everyone else. It’s 20 cents cheaper,” he said.

Morris has driven to Forest about once a week to buy gas for about four months, he said. he expects the gas station closest to his house will reach $3 per gallon soon, and he hopes the Forest stores remain less expensive.

Hall said Apple Market is devising ways to get customers to buy items inside the store to make up for the money lost on gas sales. ideas include giving pizza or fried chicken samples to people while they are pumping gas, Hall said.

But the main strategy, for now, is to hold on until Sheetz or Kroger raise their prices. both of those chains have more stores where they can compensate for losses in Forest.

“We’re kind of the little guy in between two giants,” Hall said. “We’re hoping it will end soon.”

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